With several big new MRP polls showing Reform UK’s projected vote collapsing, I decided to dig deeper into the numbers.
I look at how MRP modelling actually works, whether we can trust the results, and what it means for Reform if we can.
I also discuss what the coalition government would look like if these models prove correct, where this leaves Labour, and whether the Tories have actually had a Kemi bounce.
Plus there’s the question of where Restore Britain fit into all this. Rupert Lowe is claiming the results as a victory, yet the party’s vote currently looks spread too thin across the country to make a difference (a problem shared to some extent by Reform).
There is quite a lot of detail in this video that I believe will be of interest so please watch it below.
Cheers,
Nick



That Rainbow Coalition sounds like a nightmare. Can you imagine ?